Scola leads Argentina past Brazil to gain FIBA quarters

Basketball Betting Lines

09/07/2010 - Istanbul, Turkey (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Luis Scola continued a blistering scoring clip with 37 points on 14-of-20 shooting as Argentina edged Brazil, 93-89, to gain a quarterfinal berth in a thrilling South American showdown at the 2010 FIBA World Championship.

Scola of the NBA's Houston Rockets leads the tournament with 30.3 points per game and is knocking down 62 percent of his shots. He scored a dozen points in the decisive fourth quarter, including 10 of the final 12 points for Argentina.

Carlos Delfino of the Milwaukee Bucks added 20 points and hit 4-of-7 from three-point range.

Argentina will take on Lithuania in the quarterfinals after its win over China earlier Tuesday.

The Brazilians were led by Marcelo Huertas' 32 points and led at halftime, 48-46, in what was a tight game throughout. Huertas and then Delfino traded buckets at the conclusion of the third quarter with the game tied at 66 moving to the fourth.

Leandro Barbosa of the Phoenix Suns gave Brazil a lift with back-to-back three-pointers -- two of his five -- to open the final frame. Barbosa scored 20 points in all but it was Huertas who kept it close at the end.

Huertas recorded 10 points in the fourth and hit two free throws early on to keep Brazil in front after Hernan Jasen dropped a pair of threes to answer Barbosa.

The lead continued to change hands down the stretch as Jasen and Huertas knocked down shots for their respective countries as the clock wound under six minutes remaining.

The advantage was back in Brazil's hands, 81-79, on two Tiago Splitter free throws with 3:15 left before Scola took over late.

Scola dropped in consecutive buckets to swing the momentum, and poured in another two following a Brazil counter to get the margin to 89-84 with less than 30 seconds remaining.

Splitter came back with a deuce to make it a one-possession game before Delfino was able to sink two clutch free throws with under 10 seconds to play.

Huertas continued the excitement by nailing a three as time was about to expire, cutting the lead to two. Scola, though, drew the quick foul and made both at the line to wrap things up.

Linas Kleiza poured in 30 points and grabbed nine rebounds to lead Lithuania in its 78-67 win over China. Martynas Gecevicius added 14 points and Mantas Kalnietis chipped in 11 for Lithuania.

Liu Wei scored 21 points to lead China.

The Chinese opened a 22-17 lead after the first quarter, but Lithuania used a 23-10 run during the second and went to the break with a 43-40 edge. A three by Liu pulled China even at 48-48 with just over seven minutes left in the third quarter, but Gecevicius answered with a shot from beyond the arc to ignite an 11-0 run for Lithuania.

Kleiza scored four during the burst, which gave Lithuania a 59-48 lead, and the third quarter ended with a 64-51 cushion for the Lithuanians. China got as close as five with just over five minutes left on a bucket by Wang ZhiZhi, but Kleiza scored the next 10 points for Lithuania to extend the margin to 12 with just over a minute remaining.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.